DXY:
Looking at the Weekly chart price may bearish towards the weekly support at 91.8 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 38.2% Fibonacci extension. On the other hand, price may be bullish towards the weekly resistance at 94.742 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and Horizontal swing high.
On the Daily timeframe, price is retesting the Daily resistance at 93.826 in line with Horizontal swing high and may bearish towards the Daily support at 91.8 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 38.2% Fibonacci extension. On the other hand, price may be bullish towards the Daily resistance L1 at 94.742 in 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
On the H4 timeframe, price may bearish towards the H4 support at 92.394 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension. Our bearish bias is further supported by EMA reacting above the price and MACD is also showing a bearish signal where the signal line is above the MACD line. On the other hand, price may bullish towards the H4 resistance L1 at 94.285 in line with -61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension..
Areas of consideration:
- H4 resistance L1 of 94.285
- H4 support of 92.394
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XAU/USD (GOLD):
On the weekly timeframe, price bounced above descending trendline support at 1677. Price is now holding below 1833 resistance. Long term sellers could possibly add to their positions here and push price lower towards graphical support at 1677 level. Otherwise, a break above our resistance will see price push higher towards our 2nd resistance.
On the Daily, price trading sideways, holding below 1st resistance at 1833. We see a medium probability bearish scenario where sellers may enter with their shorts and looking for a possible target at the weekly support level of 1677. Stochastics is reacting below short term intermediate resistance as well.
On the H4, price is drifting within a tight squeeze below resistance at 1791. With stochastic testing resistance where price dropped in the past, a short term drop towards support at 1717 could be likely. Otherwise, a break above 1st resistance could see price swing the other way towards daily resistance at 1833.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 resistance of 1791
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EUR/USD:
Looking at the weekly chart we can see that price dropped to support at 1.16307, in-line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension. On the Daily chart, price bounced back to previous support-turned-resistance at 1.17041, in-line with 100% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension. We could potentially continue further bearish pressure to the next support level at 1.16243, in-line with -27.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension. MACD is also indicating bearish momentum for further downside.
On the H4 timeframe prices bounced to resistance at 1.17000, in-line with 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension. Price could potentially have a short-term rebound to first resistance at 1.17190, in-line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension. RSI is also indicating negative divergence for possible short-term bounce. The next resistance could potentially be at 1.17525, in-line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension.
If price drops, it could potentially swing towards support at 1.16517, in-line with 161.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension. The next support could potentially be at 1.16280, in-line with -27.2% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, support level at 1.16517 and 1.16280
- H4 time frame, resistance level at 1.17190 and 1.17525
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USD/CHF:
On the weekly, price is holding above ascending trendline support and also between 1st resistance at 0.95124 and 1st support at 0.90391. Traders should watch these levels closely for a break to see prices swing higher or drop lower. On the Daily, the price did not reach a graphical swing high. It is seen to have a bearish movement towards the 1st support at 0.90391. With stochastics testing resistance where price dropped in the past, we see a possibility that sellers could enter and push price towards the 1st support at 0.90391
On the H4, price has broken through the MA 100 period and is holding above it,price has just bounced off the first support in line with the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement. Price is expected to be pushed towards the 1st resistance. Our bias is neutral as the stochastic indicator, the %K line has just bounced off the strong support on the chart signifying a possible bullish momentum,however, we would still keep our bias neutral as price seems to be moving in a range.
Areas of consideration:
- Watch Daily resistance at 0.92716
- Watch Daily support at 0.91003
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GBP/USD:
Looking at the weekly chart, price dropped to support at 1.35800, in-line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, 78.6% Fibonacci extension and 50MA. On the Daily time frame price broke below support at 1.36425, it could potentially face further bearish pressure to support at 1.35822, in-line with 100% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension.
On the H4 timeframe, price pierced support and bounced at 1.36142, in-line with -61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Price could potentially swing towards first resistance at 1.36710, in-line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement , 78.6% Fibonacci extension and 20EMA. Stochastic is also at the support level where previous bounces occurred. The next potential resistance could be at 1.37090, in-line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension.
If price continues its bearish momentum, it could potentially swing towards next support at 1.35520, in-line with 100% Fibonacci retracement and 200% Fibonacci extension. The next support could potentially be at 1.35276, in-line with -27.2% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, 35520 and 1.35276 support level
- H4 time frame, 1.36710 and 1.37090 resistance level
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USD/JPY
From the weekly timeframe, price is below the descending trendline resistance, and may bearish to weekly support 107.480 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension. On the other hand, price might move above the weekly descending trendline resistance and may move towards the weekly resistance at 111.660 in line with 50% Fibonacci extension.
On the Daily timeframe, price may bearish to the Daily support at 108.559 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension. On the other hand, price might move towards the Daily resistance at 110.819 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
On the H4 timeframe, price may bearish to the H4 support at 108.722 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension. On the other hand, price might move towards the H4 resistance at 110.815 in line with 141.4% Fibonacci extension.
Areas of consideration:
- 815 resistance level on the H4 timeframe
- 722 support level on the H4 timeframe
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AUD/USD:
On the weekly, price is holding under the MA 50 showing bearish momentum, price is expected to put towards the first support in line with the -61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Our bearish bias is further supported by the RSI indicator, it is showing a potential downward trend hence signifying a bearish momentum. On the Daily, the price is holding below EMA 34 showing a potential bearish momentum, price is expected to push downwards to the first support at 0.70958 in line with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Our bearish bias is further supported with the RSI indicator that broke the uptrend support turn resistance.
On the H4, price dropped lower and is approaching 1st support at 0.70459. Price is holding below the MA 50 indicating a continuation of a downward trend, our bearish bias is further supported by the price holding below the overall descending trendline resistance. Otherwise, failure to reach at 1st Support will see price bounce towards 1st resistance at 0.73866 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 potential reversal at 1st support.
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NZD/USD:
Looking at the weekly chart we could see that price broke face bearish pressure from resistance at 0.70565 where it could potentially drop towards support at 0.67020, in-line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension. On the Daily chart, if the price broke below 0.68750, it could potentially swing towards next support at 0.67620, in-line with -27.2% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension.
On the H4 timeframe, prices are consolidating above support at 0.68240, in-line with -27.2% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Price could potentially bounce towards first resistance at 0.68580, in-line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension. Stochastic is also at support level where previous bounces occurred. The next potential resistance could be at 0.68875, in-line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension.
If price drops, it could potentially swing towards first support at 0.67615, in-line with -61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 200% Fibonacci extension. The next potential support will be at 0.67257, in-line with -27.2% Fibonacci retracement and 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, support level at 0.67615 and 67257
- H4 time frame, resistance level at 68580 and 0.68875
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USD/CAD:
On the Weekly timeframe, price is testing long term moving average and also both 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.29882. As long as the price is holding below this level, we could potentially see the price facing further bearish pressure in the long term. On the Daily price pulled back sharply. With stochastics reacting below resistance where price dropped in the past, we see price facing further bearish pressure and could likely find support at the ascending trendline support, in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
On the H4, price is approaching graphical overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.27850. With price holding above short term EMA, a short term intraday bounce above our 1st support towards graphical swing high at our 1st resistance at 1.29490 could be likely. Otherwise, a break and close below our 1st support should see price drop towards 2nd support at 1.26485.
Areas of consideration:
- H4 time frame, support level at 1.27850
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OIL:
On Weekly timeframe, we can see price has reversed from weekly resistance from horizontal swing high at 77.82, price may continue its bearish momentum, may find support at 54.63 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 38.2% Fibonacci extension. However, if price breaks above 77.82 which is weekly resistance at horizontal swing high, it may swing up towards the Weekly resistance L1 at 86.59 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
On the Daily timeframe, we are seeing a similar bearish pressure as price breakthroughs the ascending trendline support (now resistance) and may find Daily support at 64.46 which is in line with 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Otherwise, price may move towards the Daily resistance at 76.24 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension.
Lastly, on the H4 timeframe, price may continue to bearish below the H4 resistance at 72.41 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci extension and may retest the H4 support at 64.46 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension and may continue to its bearish momentum towards the H4 support L1 at 62.24 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Our bearish bias is further supported by how MACD is shown to be holding below the 0 line. Otherwise price may move towards the H4 resistance at 72.41 in line 50% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci extension.
Areas of consideration:
- 41 resistance level on the H4 timeframe
- 24 support level on the H4 timeframe
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Dow Jones Industrial Average:
On the weekly chart, price is trading sideways holding between 33270 support and 38119.37 resistance. With price holding above long term moving average, we see a possibility of price facing further bullish pressure.
On the Daily chart, price is still testing and holding below resistance at 36021. With stochastic still holding below resistance where price dropped in the past, we see price facing possible bearish pressure.
On the H4, price is holding between 1st resistance at 35631 and 1st support at 34690. With no good levels for entry to provide reasonable risk to reward ratio, we prefer to stay neutral for now and observe. A break above resistance will see price push higher, whilst a break below resistance could see price drop lower as well.
Areas of consideration:
- 35631 resistance level on the H4 timeframe
- 34690 support level on the H4 timeframe
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