• US Equities Rebound as Caution Looms Over Economic Data Releases
  • Japanese Yen on Track for First Losing Week in Six Amid Dovish BoJ Comments
  • Upcoming Week to Feature Key Data Releases Including US and UK Inflation

As the week draws to a close, US equities have managed to bounce back from a recent selloff, showing slight gains. However, investors are treading carefully due to the anticipation of crucial economic data set to be released soon.

While major US indices have seen a recovery, certain sectors are still facing potential losses for the week.

Source: LSEG

In the commodities market, gold is poised to end the week in negative territory but displayed a strong recovery towards the end of the week. On the other hand, oil prices have witnessed a significant 2.7% increase as of now.

Recent statements from OPEC+ hinted at a possible delay in their planned production increase for October, contributing to the upward movement in oil prices after several weeks of decline.

In the realm of foreign exchange, the has experienced a slight decline for the week. The US Dollar saw a robust resurgence towards the end of the week, erasing gains made by other G7 currencies.

The Japanese Yen continues to be a focal point, heading towards its first losing week in six. The unwinding of short positions peaked earlier in the week, leading to a low of 141.67. Despite improved sentiment and the conclusion of the unwinding phase, the yen struggled to gain momentum for the remainder of the week.

This, combined with dovish remarks from BoJ officials, further weighed down the Japanese Yen.

Key Economic Data Releases Awaited in the Week Ahead

The upcoming week is expected to be eventful with the release of significant economic data. Highlights include US and UK inflation figures, along with data from China and Japan. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will also announce its interest rate decision.

Markets are approaching the new week with caution, as concerns about a potential recession linger. Chinese economic data, in particular, will be closely watched as fears of a slowdown continue to impact global markets.

Insights on Asia Pacific Markets

China is set to unveil key economic data in the upcoming week, including the Medium-Term Lending Facility (MLF) rate by the People’s Bank of China. Housing prices in 70 cities and other economic indicators will also be released. A stabilization in property prices and positive signs in retail sales and industrial production could boost market confidence.

Japan will announce its 2Q24 GDP, expected to show a rebound of 0.5% quarter-on-quarter. However, challenges in the manufacturing sector due to auto safety issues may impact overall growth. Household spending and facility investment are expected to show improvement.

Following recent statements from BoJ policymakers, market reaction to Japanese data will be closely monitored, marking the first significant data release after the rate hike.

Focus on Europe, UK, and US Markets

The Euro Area, US, and UK are gearing up for a busy week after a relatively quiet period. Key data releases in the UK include employment figures, CPI, GDP, and Retail sales. Positive data could elevate the GBP further.

The US will unveil its July CPI data, which holds significance in light of the recent speculation about Federal Reserve rate cuts. The week will conclude with US retail sales and consumer sentiment data.

Preliminary Q2 Euro Area GDP numbers will also be released, offering insights into global growth trends that are impacting traders’ decisions.

The Dollar Index Chart

The Dollar Index (DXY) remains a key player in financial markets, with recent fluctuations catching the attention of traders.

After a dip earlier in the week, the DXY has managed to stabilize, approaching key resistance levels. However, potential downside risks still exist for the DXY.

Currently below the resistance at 103.17, the DXY’s next target is around 103.65. A downward trend would need to breach support levels at 102.95 and 102.64 before reaching this week’s lows at 100.64.

Source:TradingView.Com (click to enlarge)

Key Levels to Consider:

Support:

Resistance:

Original Post

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