EUR/JPY Dips Amid JPY Demand Surge: Geopolitical Risks and BoJ Rate Hike Speculations in Focus

The EUR/JPY pair is on a downward trend for the second consecutive day as Japanese Yen demand sees a notable increase, pulling away from its recent high of 163.85-163.90. Currently trading in the mid-161.00s, the pair faces downside risks amidst growing concerns over geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, speculations of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan in 2024 further boost the JPY’s strength.

Recent data releases, including Japan’s second-quarter GDP exceeding expectations and Machinery Orders rising in June, have painted a positive economic picture for the country. This, coupled with expectations of a future rate hike, has bolstered the JPY against the Euro.

On the other hand, the Eurozone’s economic outlook remains gloomy, with the European Central Bank hinting at potential rate cuts due to declining inflation. This, in turn, weakens the Euro against the JPY, adding pressure on the EUR/JPY pair.

Investors are now awaiting the release of the flash Eurozone PMIs on Thursday for further insights into the region’s economic performance. In the absence of significant economic data on Monday, the JPY’s price dynamics will continue to influence the EUR/JPY pair.

Analysis:

The EUR/JPY pair is facing downward pressure as Japanese Yen demand rises, driven by geopolitical risks and speculations of a BoJ rate hike. Positive economic data from Japan contrasts with the Eurozone’s bleak outlook, contributing to the Euro’s underperformance. Investors should monitor upcoming Eurozone PMI releases for further market direction.

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