Gold Price Retreats After Hitting Record High Amid US Data and Fed Minutes
Gold price retreated on Thursday after reaching an all-time high of $2,531, as US Treasury yields rose. The 10-year note saw an increase of 6.5 basis points to 3.865%, boosting the US Dollar and putting pressure on gold.
US data presented mixed signals, with higher jobless claims but solid business activity despite ongoing manufacturing contraction. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes hinted at a potential rate cut in September, but the stronger US Dollar pushed gold lower.
During Thursday’s session, XAU/USD traded at $2,482, down over 1% from the previous ATH of $2,483. Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed an increase in unemployment claims, while business activity remained strong despite manufacturing contraction.
The FOMC Minutes revealed that a majority of participants supported easing policy in September if data met expectations. Federal Reserve officials expressed concerns about inflation risks and the need to achieve maximum employment.
Despite the potential for a rate cut, the rise in US bond yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note, boosted the US Dollar Index. Investors are now awaiting Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole for further clarity on monetary policy.
Analysis and Breakdown:
The retreat in gold price after hitting a record high was influenced by rising US Treasury yields and mixed US economic data. The potential for a rate cut in September added to market uncertainty, leading to a stronger US Dollar and lower gold prices.
Investors should pay attention to Fed Chair Powell’s upcoming speech for insights into future monetary policy decisions. The technical outlook suggests that while the uptrend in gold remains intact, a break below $2,483 could trigger a deeper pullback.
Overall, the movement in gold prices is closely tied to economic data, Fed policy decisions, and the strength of the US Dollar. Understanding these factors can help investors make informed decisions about their portfolios and financial strategies.