Bank of England Holds Interest Rates Steady

Today, the Bank of England (BoE) made the expected decision to keep its policy unchanged. This decision has led to a slight strengthening of the Pound Sterling (GBP), according to Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne.

Key Points from the BoE Policy Decision:

  • The BoE maintained its interest rates, as anticipated.
  • There was a split among policymakers, resulting in an 8-1 vote, cleaner than the expected 7-2 split by the markets.
  • Market swaps are now pricing out some of the BoE easing risk for the rest of the year.
  • Governor Bailey mentioned that the BoE should be able to gradually reduce rates over time.

Despite the lack of a press conference today, Governor Bailey and MPC member Mann are scheduled to speak tomorrow, which could provide further insights into the BoE’s future plans.

Impact on the Pound Sterling (GBP):

The GBP has seen a slight increase in value following the BoE’s decision to hold rates. The currency has pushed through the low 1.33s, reaching its highest level since March 2022. GBP has shown strong support around the 1.3150 mark and has rebounded significantly from yesterday’s late session to retest the 1.33 level.

GBP continues to appreciate against the USD, with trend strength indicators aligning bullishly across short-, medium-, and long-term charts. The key resistance level to watch is at 1.3330 (long-term retracement), with potential for a return to the 1.35/1.40 range.

Analysis and Outlook:

The BoE’s decision to keep rates steady has provided some stability to the markets and boosted the GBP’s value. With the possibility of gradual rate cuts in the future, investors will be monitoring upcoming speeches by BoE officials for further guidance.

Overall, the GBP’s current upward trend against the USD suggests optimism in the currency’s performance. Traders should keep a close eye on key resistance levels for potential trading opportunities in the near future.

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