Shocking Survey Results for Chancellor Candidates Olaf Scholz and Friedrich Merz
In a recent survey conducted by the renowned opinion research institute INSA for BILD, it was revealed that if Germans had the opportunity to directly choose their Chancellor, many would opt for neither of the current candidates.
Key Findings:
- In a direct face-off between Olaf Scholz (SPD) and Friedrich Merz (CDU), Merz leads with 34% while Scholz trails behind at a mere 27%.
- Surprisingly, 35% of respondents expressed a desire to not give their vote to either Scholz or Merz.
Pistorius Surpasses Merz
Comparing the latest INSA survey to the one conducted right after Merz was nominated as the Chancellor candidate, Merz has gained four percentage points while Scholz has seen a three-point decline.
Interesting Scenario:
- In a hypothetical scenario where Defense Minister Boris Pistorius (SPD) replaces Scholz before the 2025 elections, Pistorius could secure 33% of the votes (an increase of 8 points) compared to Merz’s 29% (a gain of 6 points).
- Remarkably, only 27% of respondents indicated a reluctance to vote for either candidate, showing a significant decrease of 12% from previous surveys.
Potential Candidate Change in the SPD?
The debate around whether Olaf Scholz will retain his position as the SPD Chancellor candidate until the 2025 federal elections is dividing voters. While 42% believe the SPD will replace their front-runner, 41% are convinced that Scholz will remain the candidate.
CSU’s Markus Söder’s Pledge:
- CSU Leader Markus Söder has pledged to support Merz during the campaign and refrain from attacking the CDU.
- 44% of respondents believe he will uphold his promise, with particularly high trust levels among Union supporters (61%) and FDP voters (53%), while 51% of Green Party supporters express skepticism towards Söder.
In Conclusion:
These survey results offer valuable insights into the shifting dynamics of the upcoming elections and the preferences of German voters towards the leading candidates. The data indicates a certain level of uncertainty and fluidity in voter sentiments, with potential implications for the future political landscape of Germany.