Donald Trump’s Son-in-law Seals Billion-Dollar Deal in Serbia
- In May of this year, Jared Kushner, along with former US ambassador to Germany Richard Grenell, finalized a billion-dollar contract involving a 99-year lease on the former headquarters of the Yugoslav People’s Army in Serbia.
- Grenell, a potential candidate for secretary of state in a Trump administration, played a key role in the deal despite his controversial reputation in Berlin.
- The failed negotiations in 2020, orchestrated by Grenell, aimed at a territorial exchange between Serbia and Kosovo which could have had significant regional implications.
The Balkan Domino Effect
- The proposed land swap between Serbia and Kosovo could have sparked ethnic tensions and potentially led to a new Balkan war.
- The indictment against Kosovo’s president, Hashim Thaci, derailed Trump’s plans for the region.
Close Ties Between Trump’s Circle and Serbia
- Richard Grenell’s enduring popularity in Serbia highlights the strong connections between Trump’s inner circle and the Serbian government.
- Grenell’s advocacy for Serbia led to him receiving the country’s highest order from President Vucic in 2023.
Future Outlook: Harris vs. Trump
- Trump’s pro-Serbian stance contrasts with the unclear position of Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Harris’s ties to Ukraine may influence her approach to the Balkans.
- Concerns about a possible second Trump administration raise alarms for countries like Ukraine, Bosnia, Kosovo, and Montenegro.
Analysis: Implications for the Balkans
- The influence of US policies on the Balkans, particularly regarding Serbia and Kosovo, underscores the delicate balance of power in the region.
- The potential for conflict arising from territorial disputes highlights the need for careful diplomatic strategies to maintain stability.
- The contrasting approaches of Trump and potential future leaders like Harris suggest varying outcomes for the Western Balkans.
- Economic interests and geopolitical alliances play a significant role in shaping US policies towards the region.