The US Dollar Gains Momentum

  • The US Dollar is entering its fourth straight day of gains, driven by safe-haven flows and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
  • Reports of explosions in Beirut further support the US Dollar as a safe-haven currency.
  • The US Dollar Index tests the upper band of its September range, signaling a potential breakout on Thursday.

The US Dollar (USD) is showing strength on Thursday, bolstered by various factors:

  • Increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
  • A weaker Japanese Yen (JPY) due to comments from the new Japanese prime minister.
  • Diminishing chances of a large interest-rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in November.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Key Highlights

  • New Japanese prime minister Shigeru Ishiba’s comments on the economy impact the Yen’s value.
  • Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey hints at potential interest rate cuts.
  • US economic data, including Challenger Job Cuts and Jobless Claims, influence market sentiment.
  • Upcoming releases from S&P Global Services PMI and ISM provide further insights into economic health.

US Dollar Index Technical Analysis

Technical analysis indicates:

  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) has seen a strong recovery, reaching the upper cap at 101.90.
  • A possible rejection at this level could lead to a consolidation or a pullback towards the lower end of the range.
  • Key resistance levels include 101.90, 102.09 (55-day SMA), and 103.18.
  • Support levels are at 100.62, 100.16, and 99.58.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

Risk Sentiment FAQs

Understanding risk sentiment in financial markets:

  • In a “risk-on” market, investors are optimistic and willing to take risks.
  • In a “risk-off” market, investors prioritize safety and avoid risky assets.
  • Asset classes like stocks, commodities, and currencies react differently based on risk sentiment.

 

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