EUR/USD Current price: 1.0911
Unexpected Improvement in Economic Sentiment in Germany
- The German ZEW Survey reported surprising positive changes in Economic Sentiment.
- Wall Street Facing Challenges, but US Indexes Reach Record Highs
- EUR/USD Continues on a Bearish Trend, Posting Lower Lows
The EUR/USD pair is currently struggling to maintain the 1.0900 level after hitting a new two-month low of 1.0884. The US Dollar (USD) saw increased demand during the Asian session but slightly weakened as European trading began.
On the other hand, the Euro received some support from local data, particularly the German ZEW Survey, which showed improvement in Economic Sentiment for both Germany and the Eurozone in October. While the German index reached 13.1 and the EU index hit 20.1, the assessment of the current situation in Germany declined to -86.9 from -84.5 in September.
The positive market sentiment also had an impact on the USD. Despite Wall Street’s recent rally, fueled by tech sector gains, European and Asian indexes also saw upward movement. However, falling oil prices led to mild pressure on energy shares, affecting European equities and US futures.
Prior to the US market opening, the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index was released, showing an unexpected decline to -11.9 in October after a rise of 11.5 in the previous month. Various Federal Reserve (Fed) officials are expected to make statements later in the day.
EUR/USD Short-term Technical Outlook
Looking at the technical analysis, the EUR/USD pair is likely to continue its downward trend. The daily chart shows trading near the opening price, with lower lows and lower highs. The pair is also below the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA), acting as resistance around 1.0945. Meanwhile, the 20 SMA is trending downward above the longer SMA, indicating ongoing selling pressure. Technical indicators are close to oversold levels, lacking clear direction but showing no signs of a reversal.
On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is expected to extend its decline. The bearish 20 SMA is rejecting buyers, while the 100 SMA is below the bearish 200 SMA. Technical indicators are in negative territory, suggesting a downside bias.
Support levels: 1.0885, 1.0840, 1.0805
Resistance levels: 1.0935, 1.0970, 1.1010
Analysis:
The article provides valuable insights into the current state of the EUR/USD pair, highlighting key factors influencing its movement. The unexpected improvement in Economic Sentiment in Germany and the Eurozone, as well as the challenges faced by Wall Street and the impact on USD demand, are crucial for understanding the market dynamics.
From a technical perspective, the analysis indicates a bearish trend for EUR/USD, supported by lower lows and lower highs on the daily chart. The resistance levels and support levels provided offer guidance for potential price movements. It is essential for investors and traders to consider these factors when making informed decisions about their investments.
Overall, this detailed analysis of the EUR/USD pair’s current situation provides valuable information for both experienced and novice traders, helping them navigate the complex world of foreign exchange markets with more confidence and knowledge.