Tesla’s 3rd Quarter Financial Results: What to Expect

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is set to announce its 3rd quarter financial results on Wednesday, October 23rd, ’24. Analysts are anticipating $0.58 in EPS and $25.37 billion in revenue. Here’s a breakdown of what to look out for:

Expectations and Projections

  • Consensus analyst expectations: $0.58 EPS, $25.37 billion revenue
  • Expected year-over-year growth: -12% for EPS, +9% for revenue
  • Operating income expected at $1.9 billion with +8% y-o-y growth

    Previous Performance

  • Stock fell after 2nd quarter results announcement
  • Revenue grew 5% y-o-y, operating income fell 33%, EPS fell 43% y-o-y

    Income Statement: Y-O-Y Growth By Line Item

  • Check out the year-over-year growth of Tesla’s revenue, operating income, and EPS since Covid

    Key Metrics

  • Peak auto revenue: $21.56 billion in December ’23
  • Best energy storage revenue: $5.6 billion in Q2 ’24
  • Best auto gross margin: 26.3% in Q3 ’22
  • Highest operating income: $3.9 billion in Q4 ’22
  • Peak free-cash-flow: $6.9 billion in June ’22

    Market Trends

  • Momentum in the stock has slowed down
  • Analysts and investors underwhelmed by FSD (full self-driving) division
  • Positive news on cybertruck sales boosting revenue estimates

    EPS and Estimate Revisions

  • Negative revisions in Tesla’s EPS and revenue estimate trends as of 10/22/24
  • Full-year 2024 revenue estimate bumped up due to cyber-truck sales

    Chart Analysis

  • Upward-sloping trendline remains intact
  • Support levels at $138 and $170 – $175

    Conclusion

  • Sentiment around Tesla has become apathetic
  • Concerns about stagnant robo-car division and delayed model rollout
  • Elon Musk’s multiple ventures may impact Tesla’s performance
  • Consider adding small share amounts cautiously
  • Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, only an opinion based on data sourced from LSEG.

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