USD/CHF Approaching Key Resistance Level

  • USD/CHF is closing in on the key 100-day SMA, where it will probably encounter resistance.
  • The pair is in an established short and medium-term uptrend and the odds favor more upside to come.

As USD/CHF continues its uptrend from late September lows, it is now approaching a significant resistance level at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently standing at 0.8697.

USD/CHF Daily Chart

Analysis shows that USD/CHF has recently hit the target set after breaking out of its September range, reaching 0.8680 – the 100% Fibonacci (Fib) extrapolation of the range’s height. This could indicate a potential decrease in bullish pressure.

If USD/CHF manages to break above the 100-day SMA and the 0.8700 level, there is a possibility of further upward movement towards the 0.8750 resistance level, which was last seen on August 15th.

While the short and medium-term trends for USD/CHF are currently bullish, the longer-term trend may still lean bearish despite the recent strong recovery.

Analysis and Implications for Investors

For investors, the approaching resistance level at the 100-day SMA for USD/CHF presents both opportunities and risks. Here’s a breakdown of what this means:

Opportunities:

  • Breaking above the 100-day SMA and the 0.8700 level could signal further bullish movement, potentially leading to a test of the 0.8750 resistance level.
  • Investors who are already positioned long in USD/CHF may benefit from a continued uptrend if the pair manages to overcome the resistance.

Risks:

  • If USD/CHF fails to break above the 100-day SMA and encounters strong resistance, it could lead to a pullback in price.
  • Traders looking to enter new long positions should be cautious and wait for confirmation of a breakout before committing capital.

Overall, keeping a close eye on the price action around the 100-day SMA will be crucial for investors looking to capitalize on potential opportunities or mitigate risks in the USD/CHF market.

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