EUR/USD Current Price: 1.1369

  • Easing Tariff-Related Concerns Underpin Market Sentiment
  • Federal Reserve Announcements to Impact USD Movement
  • EUR/USD Correction Expected After Recent Overbought Conditions

The EUR/USD pair has started the week strong, surpassing the 1.1400 level as the US Dollar continues to face pressure amidst relief from tariff tensions. While trade war concerns persist, the recent announcement of exemptions on certain Chinese imports has provided some respite. However, further levies may still be imposed on specific products in the near future. Despite this, global stock markets are trading optimistically, with positive movements seen in Asian, European, and US futures markets.

Today, market focus will be on various Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak, along with any updates on tariff-related developments from Washington.

EUR/USD Short-Term Technical Outlook

After reaching an intraday high of 1.1424, the EUR/USD pair has retraced to 1.1360, maintaining its gains within Friday’s range. From a technical perspective:

  • The daily chart shows a slight easing of upward momentum, with indicators at extreme overbought levels.
  • The pair remains above key moving averages, indicating a bullish trend, with potential for further upside movement.

Looking at the 4-hour chart:

  • Indicators suggest a limited downside correction is underway.
  • The pair is trading above all moving averages, supporting the bullish scenario.

Support Levels: 1.1320, 1.1285, 1.1240

Resistance Levels: 1.1425, 1.1470, 1.1515

Analysis

The EUR/USD pair’s recent movements highlight the ongoing impact of global trade tensions on financial markets. While tariff-related concerns have eased slightly, the potential for further developments remains a key driver of market sentiment.

Investors are closely monitoring Federal Reserve announcements for insights into future monetary policy decisions, which could significantly influence USD movements and overall market dynamics.

From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair’s current correction phase reflects a temporary pullback from overbought levels, with underlying bullish trends still intact. Understanding these technical indicators can provide valuable insights for traders looking to navigate the currency markets effectively.

Overall, staying informed about macroeconomic events, central bank policies, and technical analysis can empower investors to make well-informed decisions and navigate the complexities of the financial markets with confidence.

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