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Tuesday 9th November: Technical Outlook and Review

Elan Posh 0

Tuesday 9th November: Technical Analysis and Market Review

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DXY:

On the H4 timeframe, prices are on a bullish momentum. We see the potential for prices to climb from 1st support at 93.988 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st resistance at 94.212 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and retest our bullish trendline. Technical indicators are showing bullish momentum.

Areas of consideration:

● H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 94.212

● H4 time frame, 1st support at 93.988

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XAU/USD (GOLD):

On the H4 chart, prices are abiding to a daily triangle. We see potential for prices to dip from our 1st resistance at 1833.95 in line with 100% Fibonacci retracement towards our 1st support at 1808.8 in line with 23.8% Fibonacci retracement. Technical indicators are showing bearish momentum. Alternatively, breaking our 1st support at 1808.8 will find prices dipping towards our 2nd support at 1787.21 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci projection.

Areas of consideration:

● 4h 1st support at 1808.8

● 4h 1st resistance at 1833.95

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EUR/USD:

On the H4 chart price is near the first resistance of 1.15867 which is also 100% Fibonacci projection and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially dip to the first support level of 1.15380 which is also 61.8% projection. Our bearish bias is supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator as price is currently trading under it. Alternatively if price were to break the first resistance level, it may go to the 2nd resistance of 1.16221 which is also in line with 100% Fibonacci projection and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement,

Areas of consideration:

H4 first resistance: 1.15687

H4 second resistance – 1.16221

H4 first support – 1.15380

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USD/CHF:

On the H4 timeframe, price is now abiding to a descending trendline resistance, signifying bearish momentum. We can now expect price to make a drop from the 1st resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8 % Fibonacci projection towards the 1st Support in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Price is currently in the middle of the descending trendline resistance and ascending trendline support, hence traders should wait for the price to swing higher or lower before entering into the trade.

Areas of consideration:

● Watch 1st Support at 0.90909

● Watch 1st Resistance at 0.91690

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GBP/USD:

On the H4 chart, price is trading in a descending channel. Price is near the first resistance of 1.35706 which is also 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially dip to the first support level of 1.43411 which is 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is supported by stochastic as it is near resistance level. Alternatively , if price were to break the first resistance, it may go to the 2nd resistance of 1.36064 which is also 50% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection.

Areas of consideration:

H4 1st resistance – 1.35706

H4 2nd resistance – 1.36064

H4 first support – 1.34311

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USD/JPY:

On the H4 timeframe, price broke downwards from the triangle pattern, signifying a bearish momentum. In reference to yesterday’s analysis, price indeed dropped from the 1st Resistance level @ 113.604 towards 1st Support at 113.031. We can now expect a short-term bullish bounce from 1st Support in line with 127.2% Fibonacci projection and 50% Fibonacci retracement towards 1st Resistance in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our short-term bullish bias is further supported by the stochastic indicator %K line approaching the support level.

Areas of consideration:

● H4 1st resistance level 113.396

● H4 1st support level 112.949

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AUD/USD:

On the H4, we can see that price broke past the ascending trendline support, signifying a bearish trend momentum. In reference with yesterday’s analysis price indeed moved to the 1st Resistance, we can now expect price to drop from the 1st Resistance in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement towards the 1st support in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 50% Fibonacci retracement.

Areas of consideration:

● H4 1st resistance level 0.74218

● H4 1st support level 0.73685

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NZD/USD:

On the H4 timeframe, prices are on a bearish momentum and have the potential to dip from our 1st resistance at 0.71694 which is a graphical swing high towards our 1st support at 0.71313 which is a graphical overlap. Technical indicators are showing bearish momentum. If prices break our 1st support, it has the potential to dip to our 2nd support at 0.70237 in line which is an area of Fibonacci confluences.

Areas of consideration:

● H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 0.71694

● H4 time frame, 1st support at 0.71313

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USD/CAD:

On the H4, with price bouncing off the support on the RSI indicator and price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from 1st support at 1.24286 in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement levels and the horizontal overlap support to 1st resistance at 1.24796 in line with the graphical swing high resistance and possibly even to 2nd resistance at 1.24964 in line with the graphical swing high from 12th of October. Alternatively, we may see price break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 1.24024 in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and horizontal overlap support.

Areas of consideration:

● H4 time frame, support at 1.24286

● H4 time frame, resistance at 1.24796

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OIL:

On the H4 timeframe,with price moving below the ichimoku cloud and bouncing off the stochastics resistance level, we are expecting a bearish continuation from our 1st resistance at 84.18 in line with the 78.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level to 1st support at 82.53 in line with our horizontal overlap support and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and possibly our 2nd support at 81.09 in line with our 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance structure and head for 2nd resistance at 85.16 which is in line with our swing high resistance.

Areas of consideration:

● H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 84.18

● H4 time frame, 1st support of 82.53

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Dow Jones Industrial Average:

On the H4, with price moving above our ichimoku cloud and moving in an uptrend, we are biased that price will rise from out 1st support at 36233 in line with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level to 1st resistance at 36569 in line with 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 127.2% Fibonacci extension and possibly even rise to 2nd resistance at 36721 in line with the 100% Fibonacci extension. Alternatively, we may see price break 1st support and head for 2nd support at 36050 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and graphical swing low.

Areas of consideration:

● 4H resistance at 36569

● 4H support at 36233

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