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Prediction market bettors on Polymarket have driven the probability of the Clarity Act passing in 2026 to a record low, as Senate negotiations over ethics provisions continue to stall. The regulatory uncertainty is rippling across crypto assets, with traders now pricing in a prolonged legislative vacuum.
A growing bloc of Senate Democrats has declared open opposition to the Clarity Act, calling the crypto market structure bill 'corrupt' and potentially starving it of the bipartisan votes it needs to pass. The political rupture has direct consequences for every major digital asset class.
Sources close to the process suggest a revised Clarity Act draft could emerge this week, potentially the most significant US crypto legislation since the industry's inception. Here's what traders and investors need to understand before the headlines hit.
Spot Bitcoin and ether ETFs combined bled $111 million in a single session after the Federal Reserve effectively buried near-term rate-cut expectations, putting the brakes on a crypto market recovery that had been treading water near $2.26 trillion all week.
With MiCA's full authorization deadline bearing down on European crypto operators, BaFin-regulated BitGo is positioning its Crypto-as-a-Service infrastructure as a ready-made compliance bridge — and the implications for market structure are significant.
The approval of U.S. perpetual futures contracts marks a structural inflection point for crypto markets — one that sophisticated traders are already positioning around while broader institutional capital lines up behind them.
Japan is on the verge of passing one of the most significant crypto regulatory frameworks in Asia, treating digital assets with the same legal rigour as equities. With implementation targeted for 2027, the bill reshapes the investment landscape for domestic and international crypto participants alike.